Geopolitics
 

Part 1 Liberal Democracy in Peril

Part 2 Understanding China

Part 3 A World in Transition

Part 4 Geopolitical Options

Part 5 Current News Videos

Part 6 Geopolitics Information

 12/12/22

Part 1
Liberal Democracy in Peril
Globalization in Perspective
Geopolitics of 20th Century Wars
Post WW 2 International Economic Competitive Adjustments

Global Economic Growth and the Rise of Populism

Understanding Fake News
Fake News Reports on Personality not Policy
Fake News Caused by Political Correctnes

Part 2 Understanding China

Understanding China
U.S. Russia, China, Rivals, Adversaries, Enemies

George Friedman on China
66 min video

    Part 3 A World in Transition
America as a Superpower eurasiagroup
US Liberal Foreign Policy Hegemony
J Mearsheimer
Failure in Ukraine
J Mearsheimer
Top 2020 Geopolitical Risks
eurasiagroup
21st Century Geopolitical Options
Storm Before the Calm GPF
The End of the World Is Just the Beginning
Peter Zeihan

 

Part 4 Geopolitical Options
Geopolitics Peter Zeihan 11/12/22

The Myth of a Rules-Based World GPF
The Avoidable War
  K. Rudd

Part 5 Current News Videos
Peter Zeihan Latest Geopolitical Video Bullitens
Putin Didn't Expect a Damaging Economic Attack 4/14 GPF
Ukraine Conflict Moves to Europe's Front Line GPF
America’s New FP Strategy GPF
US-EU Honeymoon Is Over GZERO
Australian Cruise Missiles
4 min video 9/20/21
Rare Earth Metals 4 min video 9/17/21
Cost of Leaving Afghanistan
3 min video 9/14/21
China Demography Update 2 min video 4/28/21

Part 6 Geopolitics Information
Zeihan on Geopolitics Newsletter
GZERO World Podcast
George Friedman Videos
Adam Tooze Chartbooks

 

 

Globalization in Perspective
Source: George Friedman on Wrath and Political Polarization 15 min video

Brief History of Western Globalization
Began when the Great Silk Road expanded into Middle East and Europe.

Expanded again when Spain built her American Empire.

1. What is new about the recent expansion is Europe tried to enhance economic wellbeing
     by the merger of cultures and nations into one legal entity.

2. The wealth creation at the top has been substantial.

3. Successful for 20 years from th fall of the Soviet Union beginning in 1989 to the 2008 Great Recession.

4. Gains from Economic union began becoming a zero-sum game.

5. Economic gains took a back seat to nationalism because of open immigration policies.

6. Globalization was OK, but the Nation State and not the globe, would be the legal entity.

7. Nations would again peruse their own agenda causing geopolitical turmoil.

Turbulence from a New America's Fifty Year Populist Cycle
Recent History

1. Mid 19th Century Civil War

2. Early 20th Century Populist  Movement

3. Mid 20th Century Counter Culture Movement

4. Now???

Cycle is US Governing Process

At times it is loud and unpleasant.
Constitution will work itself out.

Current US Political Polarity

1. Failures of well educated, wealthy, experts who lost control of economy.

2. Low income and decreasing status of the white working class fueled populism.

3. Until society transcends these forces, constitution will continue.

1960's and 70's
The middle America vs. Counter Culture ended when middle America grew old and
members of the counter culture move on to other concerns.

Highly productive digital innovation replaced aging industry factors of production.

Major International Challenges for the 2020's

Future Crises in the Making

Europe and Russia Square Off

Chinese Challenges on the Horizon

Today, we wait for AI or genetic medicine or ... to ignite world economy.

Sundry Material
Two Great American Intellects:
Gore Vidal and Noam Chomsky video
Three Camps in US Foreign Policy
podcast
George Friedman  Analyzes China 66 min video

Ian_Bremmer  Superpower Summary of Lost Hegemony?   
International Greatness    Economic Greatness  

How Democracies Die by S. Daniel and D, Ziblatt
The Code of Capital  How the Law Creates Wealth and Inequality K. Pistor

Grand Strategy  MRU   Avengers: A Story of Globalization   Creative Destruction: Technology and Trade
Are There Winners and Losers of Globalization?

Thanks to Experts:
 Mark Blyth,
Adam Tooze, Francis Fukuyama  
James Overholt, William Overholt, George Friedman
Steve LeVine, Samir Gandesha
, Michael Sandel,
Peter_Zeihan, Kevin Rudd, Ian Bremmer, Jeffrey Tayler