Return to Geopolitics 10/15/19 Please link to and Share!
Forces Blowing Up Global Politics
from articles by Steve LeVine Summary from editor Walter Antoniotti firstname.lastname@example.org
Three Independent Disruptions Opposition to immigrants, globalization, and establishment's leaders/institutions
created disruptions. America's 1990 dissatisfaction spread to Europe causing two years of
volatile pubic fury. This compounded the possible of disruptions to Europe/Western Culture
Status and Social Cultural Apprehensions
contributed to these disruptions and caused many to lash out in a tribal like response.
US Led and Financed Post WW 2 Moderation Ended
1. Great power conflict has returned to early Cold War levels
2 Declining world wide economic prosperity, including the west
Disruptions Could Last Years Axion reports #1, #2, #3
Optimistic leaders thought and even hoped Trump, Brexit, or something else
would help moderate disruptions.
Voter Anxiety and Migrating Immigrants Are Difficult Issues
1. No forthcoming opposing force seems likely.
2. Aging and shrinking developed world's population reinforces disruptions.
3. AI is increasing worker employment anxiety.
3. Climate change is increasing anxiety. Source
Can Democracy Survive Global Capitalism? 100 min video
Saving liberal democracy from the extremes by the FT's Martin Wolf
stating decision should not be cited as precedent.
2012 NFIB v. Sebelius
blew a giant hole in the ObamaCare Medicaid
Shelby County v. Holder
stopped voting rule preclearance neutered
Citizens United v. FEC
allowed near-unlimited corporate election spending
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3. Foreign Affairs:
Asia vs. Europe
A. Xi now has more centralized political power
B. US decline continues and she will not overreact to Chinese militarism
C. China now an indispensible global economic power for many
nations who will support/accept her increase power projection
D. Xi has grown impatient with slowness of Chinese bureaucracy
and relaxed nature of international governance "players"
Plan shows Confidence, Independence, International Activism
A. Clearly defined policy purposes
B. Situation analysis, detailed and considers underlying historical trends
A. Enhanced role of Communist Party and Ideology
B. Ideological Confidence increased because history now
C) More Sharply Focused Chinese Diplomacy
Europe's Lose of Geopolitical
America is Not a European Country
1. Politics differ, world
perceptions differ, self-perception differs
Center of U.S. 20th Century Geopolitics is Controlling the Pacific.
Two world wars
were about control of the
U.S. Asian Policy Unchanged
Clinton began a Korean policy: no military action, limit their nuclear program, prepare for a last resort war option
Bush began fighting China's
mercantilism, Obama joined the game, Trump used trade to
increase the stakes.
Important Geopolitical Situations
1. China is not much of a military power,
but she is an economic threat.
Ruthless, Understandable 100 Year U.S. Geopolitical Strategy
Neoliberal globalization four processes:
1) accumulation by dispossession
4) upward re-distribution of wealth
Together they have increased economic insecurity and cultural anxiety by
1) the creation of surplus peoples
2) rising global inequality 3) threats to identity.
Anxiety from neoliberal globalization has armed right and left populists.
Neither Norris and Inglehart nor Laclau adequately account for such insecurity
in their ordination of populism.
“the people” are differentially deployed by right and left and they themselves
must be understood in terms of the respective enemies through which
“the people” is constructed, a decisive dimension of populism.