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Anxiety Caused Populism
Fear from 9/11 began our current anxiety period. Social changed amplified constitutional disagreements when white middle class men and women were no longer at in the center of the food chain.
Anxiety began when blacks got some economic and political power and a larger piece of the economic pie, Then Asians got m
Educators added to the issues by acting as if the normal curve did not exist. Everyone was equal only opportunity was different. Education would be the great equalizer and solve most issues. With everyone equal, increase government spending would end individual failures. But, equal chance is not enough. Unbiased observers know that nature does not distribute equally and creating equality of nurture is more than difficult. Money was not the answer. Education Change was needed.
Special blame goes to the politicians, economists and professionals.
Rules for Understanding Political Anxiety
1. People change very slowly
2. Follow the money
3. Choose and investigate both sides of a few issues
4. Garbage in Garbage Out applies to most endeavors
5. Lastly, main stream traditional sexual beliefs lost ground.
If it is easy, it is probably garbage
The economic successes and political stability from 1980-2000 allowed technocrats to take charge. But too often they provided inadequate, bias Information that was not applicable to a particular issue. This is 21st century Fake News. It is more dangerous than lies, Yellow journalism, and Propaganda which are considered by many to be fake news.
The time bomb began building with the Great Society though the explosion was delayed by the Reagan Revolution and fifteen years of economic prosperity. ending in 2000. Then 9/11 lit the fuse. Accelerants were added by The Great Recession. Gay Rights really put a psychological hurt on many middle class whites. Finally a black President’s health care plan took us back to the beginning, to the Great Society. Trump's election created a new Populism which is much like 20th Century Populism.
Democracy is supposed to be troublesome. Those most unhappy raise Cain while the Oligarchs running the show keep control of our ever growing pie. By accepting more responsibility they could avert another devastating event. Earlier we had the Civil War, the Revolutionary War and the King Phillips War. Baby Boomers are leaving populist issues to Millennials who must take control during what some consider the a Fourth Turning.
Upper Income citizens realize that as each
recession becomes more and more a white collar phenomenon, sending children to
the best schools does not guarantee success.
Middle Income citizens realize that the large increase in college graduates rates causes oversupply and means that many are making a poor economic investment.
Lower Income citizens realize education is designed for the very academic so education does little to help them advance, live a better life, and continue advancement.
To make matters worse, many will die before they collecting Medicare and Social Security.
1) China is about the size of the U.S. and has about half the roads we do, cost to catch up 2-4 trillion dollars for 2,000,000 miles * $2,000,000 per mile.
2) China has about half the subways that the U.S. does with four times the people, cost to catch, lots!
3) U.S. has seven of the top ten commercial airlines with 3,154 planes, Air France has 362 planes, Air Canada 339, and China Southern 328.
4) U.S. has 15,000 of the world's 45,000 airports, tenth place was 683, China wasn't listed, cost to catch up, lots!
5) China is building 2-3 (planned about 5) ballistic missile submarines, U.S. has 18, our allies France, England and India) 4 each.
Each cost about $5 billion carries 16 missals each with eight warheads cost to catch lots
6) U.S. has 11 nuclear power air craft carries at a current cost of 22 billion dollars. Most of our allies have one or two, Russia has one, China is building one.
7) China has serious problems with parts of her population, like in Tibet.
8) The Internet will make it impossible for China to be overly restrictive on her liberal population thought she will use patriotism/nationalism to hide freedom problems.
9) “Absent continuing reforms,” the economists argue, “Chinese growth is likely to slow down sharply, perhaps leaving China at a level less than Mexico’s” —
an outcome that would be a hard on the China-as-future crowd. Is Mexico China’s Future? 12/29/ 10 3/2/16 China's growth appears to be slowing
1. Budget balancers think only spending for want they want is useful and refuse to compromise.
Like defense and Medicare yes. Education and Obamacare, no.
2. Some wealth seekers hate big government because they don't want any force interfering with the wealth creating process.
3. Some Protestants hate big government because they want the bible to be the major governing force.
4. Some Roman Catholics hate big government because they want the Church to be the major governing force.
Why I don't fear
the debt but do fear future Medicare Expenses
1) Debt was higher after WWII and it never had to be paid back, just the interest. It was refinanced.
2) Interest will stay low because developing countries always save more and the $ is where they put saving. As of 3/2/16 rates are still very low.
3) The country has many more assets than it did after WW II and assets help determine GDP and income which determine acceptable debt levels..
4) None of the problems that caused the inflation of the 1970's are here, inflation psychology, oil socks, little foreign competition
5) In the 1970's Japan was just beginning to create a supply glut. Now we have South Korea, Chins, and many other Asia countries and to supply keeping prices low.
We are in the phase where the competitive adjustment of increasing supply goes beyond equilibrium causing a loss. That's why salaries are stagnate.
6) Social Security is projected to peak at 6% of GDP from the current 5%.
Medicare keeps rising. Politics won't work until there is a crisis and Obamacare might just be that crisis..
Correctness quickly adopts social change relating to long existing morass but 40% still
believe in these no longer popular beliefs.
Social media and Internet news lets these people avoid hearing their longstanding beliefs being ridiculed by traditional media.
Add them to those who voted for Trump.
Tea Party Members Must Not
1) Follow University of Alabama football
because it is one on many
colleges and universities started as
Land-grant colleges with the federal funds for education.
2) Receive employer sponsored health insurance because that's a fat cat program to help the rich.
Questions Concerning America's Economic Future
Please e-mail me with suggestions. Thanks! Walter Antoniotti, President of 21st Century Learning Products.
1. What will the expected Federal debt
do to long term interest rates?
2. Will the auto unions and managers finally make the concessions necessary to make U.S. auto makers competitive?
3. Will President Obama redirect education by giving more emphasis to training/public service and redirecting current expenditures in the area of academic education to those most qualified?
4. What will happen when the U.S. stops paying former insurgents, mainly Sunni and called The Sons of Iraq, to turn against al-Qaeda and other extreme Sunni groups. Eventually The Sons of Iraq will be folded into the Iraq army and local police. Success is a predicate to our leaving.
1) President O says fighting troops out in 18 months 2/28/09
2) March 28, 2009 saw heavy fighting in Bagdad because Sunni insurgents were unhappy with the arrest of their leaders and because they had not been paid lately. 3/28/09
3) Troops out of cities as planned by Bush 2 6/09.
4) Down to 50,000 non fighting troops 10/01/10
5) US pulls out in late 2011 and by 5/31/13 there may be a civil war raging?
5. Will Obama take on the Military Industrial Complex?
2) By 2013 the 10% sequester is lowering military spending so if Congress doesn't reverse it, the Tea Party has a victory..
6. When will people move terror down the list of public concerns?
Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 130,933
Accidents (unintentional injuries): 117,809
Diabetes: 75,119 Alzheimer's disease: 71,599
Influenza/Pneumonia: 63,001 Nephritis, nephritic syndrome, and nephritis: 43,901
Septicemia: 34,136 Source: Deaths: Final Data for 2005, Table CIn May of 2013 President Obama who never talks of a War on Terror began to ask if the U.S. to terrorism.
7. The Federal debt is about 8 Trillion dollars, what is the value of Federal Assets?
|US Gross Debt
in Nominal USD billions
|US Gross Debt as % of GDP||Question Answer|
|United States public debt - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia|
13/5 TBD as some say we have come a long way and are moving forward and some believe we still have too big to fail.
5/13 Congress considers law to double allowed foreign visas for STEM cell jobs, opponents say people like Bill Gates are pushing this law to lower salaries.
Looks like TABLF will be paid
BY 5/13 most TABLF loans paid back. Indirect cost of banking crisis were immense.
Iran continues to process uranium.
5/13 Pakistan manages a free election though many died during the campaign.
5/13 Still quiet though US relations with Russia seem to be worsening.
4/13 Tax cut on rich was ended, payroll tax cut reversed, most other Bush tax cuts extended
Note I now consider myself a David Brooks republican rather than a centrist democrat. 09/15/10
Why We Hate
Many people hate by race because they need someone below them on the social ladder.
Tea party patriots hate government assistance because it allows them to believe their economic well-being was achieved without government help.
Wealthy people hate paying taxes more than is justified by the tax laws because it allows them to feel they did it on their own.
Agnostics hate the religious because it allows them to feel academically superior.
Thoughts on Health Care
David Brooks on PBS News Hour after Senate agrees on a bill. 12/18/09
|DAVID BROOKS: It does
essentially balance the budget. And there are going to be tax increases.
They are going to pay for it with Medicare cuts. So, there's a lot of good
enough stuff in there, and there's a lot of reform for the current system.
My fundamental problem is that it is a slow, gradual building on the current system. But the current system is so fundamentally messed up. The incentive structure is such that providers are penalized for being efficient. Everybody's got an incentive to get more and more care. We're all separated from the consequences of our choices, and that you can't build reforms on top of what is really a rotten set of incentives.
And so, at the end of the day, the question is, can you pass this and get toward real reform down the road? And I fundamentally don't think so. One of the Medicare actuaries reported I think last week or within two weeks that health care spending is just shooting upwards. Was 15 percent of the GDP. Now I think it's 17.7 percent of GDP. It will be up to 22, 24.
This bill will make it increase slightly faster, not slower. And if you care about things like preschool education, state spending on any other projects, that's all going to be swallowed up by health care. And if we don't address that problem, we have missed the central problem.
... I'm not sure
it is a great thing for Democrats to pass this. And I will tell you why.
They are going to pass -- I assume they are going to pass it. In the next several years, really, no benefits will kick in. But everyone -- but insurance rates will go up. Everyone will be blaming the Democrats.
And then, when the benefit do kick in, we will see this surge in demand for health care, no surge in supply of health care, because the same number of doctors and all that stuff will be the same. When you get higher demand, same supply, you get a price increase.
And so then it's another four or five years of people seeing their costs go up. And the political pressure as a result of these two periods I think will be such that they will gut all the good parts of the bill, which are the cost control, and will keep -- will -- they will entrench the expensive parts.
Editors Thoughts on health care
A. Federal government WWII wage controls interfered with our free markets.
B. Companies circumvented these controls by paying employee health insurance.
B. It was decided these payments were not taxable income.
II. Many people, myself included, have had government sponsored health care
for most of their lives.
A. Until retirement, I was covered by very expensive company/government sponsored by being tax free health/dental plans.
1. My companies didn't care about controlling insurance costs because they were passed on to our customers, the students and their families.
2. The Insurance companies didn't care because they all agreed not control costs.
a. Controlling patient claims is expensive
b. Costs from claims, many not needed procedures were simply passed on to insurance company customers (my companies).
3. Individuals didn't care because the insurance benefit was paid by their company and not taxable income.
B. By 2008, insurance cost in the U.S. were higher than comparable industrialized countries by 6% of GDP.
1.For 2008, this was over $2,500/person/year.
2. Average higher cost for the 35 years I worked was about $2,000 per years
a. This is just a guess.
b. It was very low in the beginning and over $2,500 in 2008.
3. The total individual extra cost was $2000 per year X 35 years = $87,500.
4. A family's total extra cost was about $2,000 X 2.5 people X 35 = $175,000. (Just a guess.)
5. The automobile industry couldn't compete with the low health insurance cost for
employees and retirees incurred by countries like Japan and South Korea.
a. As a result, companies down sized for many years and many workers lost their job.
b. New, younger workers were paid less and middle class living standards began their 30 year decline.
C. Because someone else paid, many people, myself included, didn't take responsibility for my own health.
1. As a result, like many Americans, I was overweight for much of the time and smoked for too many years.
2. Now find myself trying to control high levels of cholesterol, blood pressure, and Glucose.
D. I am on Medicare and paying about over $3,000 per year to the Government and BCBS.
E. The future?
1. Will the government do it right, probably not.
2. Health care will definitely cost me more for the first few years.
3. Do I want them to try?
a) I can afford it partly because for many years I have been getting a free ride with free with health care, deductable home interest,
and retirement income tax brakes.
b) That which is not getting better, is getting worse!
5. Three alternative possibilities if Obamacare passes.
a) A extensive effort to control of health care costs will follow as we follow the recommendations of a bipartisan health/SS committee report.
1) Medicare will be pushed back to the same age as 100% SS for those under 60.
2) Because we are living longer100% SS now given at 66 and 67 will be increased for those under 60 to 68-70.
3) Medicare tax, which applies to all income, will go up by one or two percentage points.
4) The SS tax will apply to all income. This might not have happened but Wall Street greed after the bail out
will help it gain support from some conservatives.)
5. These will probably happen even if Obamacare doesn't pass.
b) If cost savings changes come too late, are too small, or are ignored completely, interest rates in U.S. will rise dramatically and a depression follows.
1) The middle class will get physical similar to their actions during the French Revolution.
2) Something radical like a progressive tax tied to an inequality index will be instituted. Income inequality recently passed the 1929 high.
c) Same as b only the managed decline of the middle class of the last 30 years will continue.
1) A slow increase in interest rates causes continuing income/benefits stagnations.
2 Asset prices in the U.S. will drop despite the outstanding efficiency of American Industry.
3) Eventually high growth will return but we are talking many years.
A. The unintended consequences from government interference in health care during WW II have been devastating.
B. This unintended consequence has resulted in conservatives want the government out of health care.
1. This means no Obamacare.
2. It doesn't mean government getting completely out by taxing employee sponsored health care.
a. Once this welfare program, like other liberal entitlement welfare programs passes, it will become a conservative
"rights or middle class entitlements".
(Medicare, 401K's, home interest deduction, farm subsidies ...)
b. All government employees, including legislators, would have to pay taxes on their health benefits. "No Way You Say!
C. All bets are off for the near future if the Dow goes below 6000 during 2010-2011. It's over 15,000 in 2013 but there is no gain until you sell!
1. Low interest rates may be causing another stock market bubble. It did but in 2013, high profits despite slow growth have helped keep the market high.
2. If the carry trade reverses too quickly as the US reverses monetary policy, the 6,000 figure is possible. As of 2013 this is not as likely as 2009.
D. All bets are on for the near future if congress passes a compromise less expansive health care bill to help
while we work out of this economic mess
We are all Communists in disguise?
From each according to their ability,
to each according to their need.
My good friend X and I began working about the same time, he as a barber, me as a college administrator.
X met a Y who's husband had died so she and her young son were collecting Social Security.
X and I both worked more than the 25 years used to determine Social Security benefits.
I was fortunate to earn enough to pay the maximum amount into social security.
I have no reason to believe that X reported more taxable income than the average barber,
which at best, is less than half of the maximum income for social security.
Now comes the Communism part.
Social security income is based on an index number calculated from paid social security taxes.
Low payers return is 53%, medium payers 43%, high payer 34%.
So X paid on a lot less income and receives a just a little less benefit than I.
But it doesn't end here. X and Y got married about
the time her son went off Social Security so
she was eligible for a spousal social security benefit at 62 even though X kept working.
About that time I was retired and paying my own health insurance.
Of course, you could say that I didn't need as much because I earned more
and because of SS, Y never worked, she and X had more need.
My guess is Y has been on Medicare for quite a while.
Everyone is eligible, even those who never worked.
Like I say, we are all communist in disguise.
Americans will have a Cain-Able attitude concerning President Obama's decision
to publish the memo's concerning "water boarding" of prisoners.
The Cain's will ask what was
accomplished by the disclosure and fear for our security
and the liberals will hope it helps to repair our Nation's image as the land of the free and the home of the brave.
real problem is the people who have an American flag on the car will not think
about this at all.
Unless we make them! 4/22/09
When I watch Americans clapping at a Memorial day
I think they are clapping for themselves and not our fallen veterans.
I haven't done much to make our country great. Worked a lot, paid a little taxes.
Went into education which may be admirable,
but it was to avoid being drafted into the Vietnam war.
Too many Americans attribute the greatness of
what our country has accomplished over 300 years to themselves,
like every single person contributed much to our greatness.
Our greatness is the result of forced sacrifice.
Today, the sacrifices we are not willing to make include
1) Increase gasoline taxes to make us less dependant upon mid-east oil--
now we kill tens-of-thousands of Arabs every decade or so to keep oil less expensive.
2) Making employee health care costs paid by employers taxable income
so people would develop more healthy life styles while supplying funds needed to provide
all Americans with health care.
3) Pass a national sugar tax to make us healthier.
History tells us the quest for oil was a major cause of WWI and WWII.
It will tell us oil was the a major cause of two or more U.S. wars in the middle east.
"...Dutch hegemony during the 17th and 18th centuries was built on its unmatched ability to harness wind power.
Coal came along. Oops, global power gone.
British hegemony during the 18th and 19th centuries was built on coal powered railroads.
Along came oil, Oops, global power gone.
Now it seems to me that the United States hegemony of
the 20th and 21st centuries is based on gasoline.
An alternative power source will be found for oil. Oops, global power gone.
from Capital Reader Political Book Summary of American
The Perils of Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21st century
Most people questioning what American does are not anti-American or unpatriotic.
They are trying to insure that our heritage continues to be honorable.
Every time I see an RV with big tires and an American flag on
the bumper waiting in line with the motor and air conditioner running at a
Hardy's fast food restaurant, a bank, picking up children after school;
I wonder how many Muslims we had to kill to keep oil prices low and thus lower the expense of RV's.
I get goose pimples watching the Memorial Day fireworks.
It is a good feeling for those living and dead who fought for my right to write these thoughts.
These thoughts are in no way intended to
minimize the sacrifices made by the men and women
who gave their lives, were injured, or had their lives seriously interrupted serving America.
We can't do enough, and budget constrains too often preclude us from doing enough.
It is too easy to cut back on budget items for people and add to the budgets for armaments.
Why these are separate budgets is beyond me.
Editor's Application of On Grand Strategy
Proportionality is a good for connecting among past, present, and future events.
It also has a lot to do with justice.
U.S. response to Pearl Harbor
was proportional and therefore justified.
Media responses to Trump actions in relation to
Russian interference with elections are proportional,
Something must be wrong when one billion people dislike the United States.
If growing Poppies in Afghanistan is funding terrorism, why not pay them not to grow Poppies like we pay our farmers not to grow crops? Its cheaper!
Why are the Russians and Chinese, who have much more to fear from radical Muslims than we do, not fear the Iranian nuclear program?
Almost 2,500 people died on 9/11. Terror is one of many preventable causes of death..
From Actual Causes of Death 2000 printed by 2004 AMA
There is a natural direction to the flow of
Little is required to ensure an end result.
The secret is in knowing when a disruptive force can reverse this flow and
cost society so much that action is needed, regardless of the cost, to eliminate the disruptive force.
When society decides to bear the cost, too often the cost has been war and the decision has been incorrect.
America has been in too many wars. Should
some of them been avoided?
Revolutionary War-Canada didn't need a war to break from England.
Civil War-England didn't need a war to end slavery.
WWI-Whoever won was going to control the oil rich Middle East.
WWII thank God FDR got us in.
The Cold War- In this case, the natural flow of history is for democracy
and freedom for people.
Democracycontinues with or without a Cold War.
A cold scuffle would have been enough. A little time and the VCR would have done the rest.
Koran War, I have no idea although the area has been
peaceful for 50 years.
Vietnam War- Russia was a third world country and eventually would not be
able to keep up.
I blame the CIA for inadequate information and LBJ who made poor decision.
The terrorists could wage an economic war causing a
sever economic depression
that would decimate our consumer oriented society.
Avoiding this cost is worthy of tremendous sacrifice.
This economic catastrophe which would make the great depression
look like the roaring twenties will happen if terrorist take control of Middle East oil supplies,
force up the price of oil, and then created a second front by attacking America's consumer spending sites. 5/13
That is what Syria is all about and I think bringing back the draft tied to a national service program should be a prerequisite to action.
3/2/16 has changed the calculus and before long only Israel will be of interest.
George W Bush knew that in a democracy voters will
not make a large sacrifice unless a gun is put to their head.
Nine-eleven was the gun and George II chose a the military solution to make sure terrorists can never take control of Middle East oil.
Not during his watch. This was easy to do as most American voters do not mind sending someone else's children to war,
especially if it means keeping their own personal economic sacrifices to a minimum.
Defending our boarders against terrorist infiltration became the second front on our War on Terror. To understand follow the money
There is also a time constraint on how long it will
take technology to solve our oil dependency problem.
Technology could take "fifty years" and George II is proposing we stay the course for how ever long it takes.
It could be a while. There should be a third front to rid our dependency on oil.. 9/13 Is it Fracking?
We could lower our reliance for foreign oil by affecting consumer demand.
Why doesn't George II do this. Some say it is his ties to the oil industry, but
in 1952, newly elected President Eisenhower didn't have ties to oil when he
agreed to work with Churchill's British government to remove democratically
elected Iranian Prime Minister Mohammad Mossadegh because he was trying
to nationalize Iran's oil which was controlled by British Petroleum.
No, it is not just his oil ties. George II knows that in a democracy voters
will not make a large sacrifice unless a gun is put to their head .
Before the WWII gun went off and against the will of many voters and
FDR was able to slow down Hitler enough to insure that German did not become
our native language. We need another FDR.
Will the United States kill more Muslims in the 20th and 21st centuries than
she killed Native Americans in the 17th, 18th, and 19th Centuries.
Genocidal activity against Native Americans began with our Pilgrim forefathers,
included "scalp bounties" of up to 100 Pounds sterling during Nat Bacon's Rebellion.
These actions were interrupted briefly to conduct the Salem Witch Trials,
which resulted in 19 "witches" being hung.
I would feel a lot better about this war not being about oil
if our politicians would agree
to double the real price of gasoline and heating oil over the next 20 years.
Does anyone think Israel will allow Iraq, or any nation in or close to the
to build nuclear weapons? 5/13
Current thinking is Israel may not have the fire power as Iran's program is deep under ground!
I wonder how the number of people killed on
9/11 compares with the number of additional people killed
since the United States dropped the 55 MPH national maximum speed limit?
9/11 The National Safety Council wants to save 6,000 lives annual by lowering the illegal alcohol
level for driving to >= 0.5 of one percent. Where are you FOX News personalities?
The Defense Department and Department
of Home Land Security should become
The Department of Human Safety with money distributed accordingly.
Why should saving a life from foreign attack receive more money than saving a life from a car accidents,
health problems, child abuse? Is a suicide resulting from Bullying a more tolerable death
than one at a marathon in Boston?
We need a middle east Marshall Plan funded by 10% of the defense
budgets of all NATO countries
with the money coming from big ticket defense hardware.
Am I the only person who thinks the terrorist are laying off
the U.S. until after the election because
they think a democrat president would be less likely to fight than a republican president.
They are wrong! 5/13 Interesting but wrong!
How much of the hype concerning the war from MSCNN news is
caused by a desire for ratings
and the fact that it is owned by large provider in antiterrorist equipment General Electric?
Is there an antiterrorist expert being interviewed on TV who does not have a financial interest in our continued fear of terrorism. Does this make them bias?
The Sky is Falling
On August 11, 2006, a sports show I was listening to decided to spend the entire
Got home, went to MSNBC on the Internet and found nothing. I was right! They
were overreacting. Then I watched MSNBC Crossfire
On Crossfire, NBC anchor Brian Williams was interviewed by Chris Mathews.
Interestingly, there was little mention of Pakistanis original involvement
in uncovering the terrorists.
We now know there was no immediate threat, a dry run was not scheduled,
I write this while listening to This Week With
George Stephanopoulos, former Chairman of the 9/11 Commission and former Gov.
Thomas Kean, R-N.H.
What is it that makes American so afraid of
From Actual Causes of
From Actual Causes of
Death 2000 printed by 2004 AMA
It does appear that spending a vast amount of
It does appear that spending a vast amount of
Trust The Experts
Just because someone is articulate and knowledgeable, doesn't mean they are correct.
Lester Thurow, former Dean of the MIT Sloan School of
Business, was often seen on
Public Television, CNN, and the networks during the 1980's and early 1990's
He explained how the United States economic and educational systems were losing the battle with the Europeans and Japanese.
He had it exactly wrong. Their economies tanked and ours took off.
Fred Barns from the Fox News Special Report With Bret Hume
panel of experts emphatically
war in Iraq was difficult and winning the peace would be easy.
I can't believe that anyone with reasonable knowledge of Middle East history would feel the peace would be easy.
Didn't Fred Barns realize the war began over a thousand years ago. That fight is far from over.
How can you win a peace that has not begun. Does the Bush administration realize the Crusades are over.
Experts Say Medicare Spending is out of
|1 Billions of Dollars|
The Real Story
|Percent Point Change||3.7-8.1 = -4.4||0.3-0.4=-0.1||4.3 - 2.9 = 1.4||2.5-0.7 =1.8||1.6-0.3 = 1.2|
-4.4 + (-0.1)= -4.5
1.4 + 1.8 + 1.2 = 4.4
Education is like politics,
if you really want to know what is going on,
follow the money.
Education Step 1 of 4
Community, Parents, and Students Choose and Prioritize Goals
Two B's or an A and a C Which is Better?
ago I began asking my evening adult college students which was better,
two B's or an A and a C. Almost all said 2 B's.
Then I rephrased the question.
You need a serious operation; which do you want,
a doctor average in bedside manner and average in operating procedure or
one with a C in bedside manner and an A in operating procedure.
I'll take the A and the infamous Dr. House every time.
If the IRS has questions, I want
the best tax accountant I can find.
Auditing ability means little to me as does their looks, personality, or golf game ...
A young lady heard this example and at the
break thanked me.
She had been told that her poor math ability made her very average and
being very good at English was not good enough.
She also said page two of
Quick Notes Philosophy
at the front of the workbook
made her feel much better about herself.
Sacrificing self-confidence to make someone a little better at anything
is one of the biggest of recent education philosophy..
Other Interesting Sites
Choosing a College and Major
Career Options for Graduates
Geekability is Important for Career Success
Free Stuff for Students
President Eisenhower once warned us of
the waste involved of what he called "the Military Industrial Complex.
It is time to be concerned with the waste involved with the "Educational Industrial Complex."
Paul Krugman and Bill O'Rilley were on Tim
Russert show last night (08/04) hustling their recent books.
Mr. Krugman wanted to blame the poor job creation on the Bush administration and Mr. O'Rilley wanted to blame it on 9/11.
Actually, poor job creation was caused by the outsourcing of white collar jobs made possible by the Internet
and the computer finally increasing the efficiency of American workers.
This process represents the most recent form of Schumpeter's Theory of Creative Destruction.
Many experts believe a better educated workforce is the best
way to create high paying employment.
There are two reasons education is not the answer..
We can not educate average Americans to the extent they can
compete with very well educated, highly intelligent people from countries such as India and Ireland.
We can not educate average Americans to the extent they can compete with computers.
The number of countries using in sourcing to enhance their economic well-being will grow at an ever increasing rate
and computer will continue to replace blue and white collar workers at an ever increasing rate.
From a policy standpoint, there are two things
we can do to help people losing good jobs because of "Creative Destruction.
Many of the people being replaced lose their health insurance.
Everyone in this country should be covered by Medicare and like Medicare.
Those that can afford additional, better health insurance should be allowed to buy additional insurance from private sources.
Such additional insurance could be paid by a person's employer and if paid by an individual, the cost would be a tax deduction.
Secondly, no child left behind should be changed to a job for every child. If this were done, data of interest would, education contained in
1998-2008 Job Growth by Required Education and Occupations,
All College Majors Are Created Equal, and
Many Without A Bachelor's Degree Have High Earnings could be used to make educational decisions.
Every college student choosing a major should be required to sign a document stating they have read Recent Earnings Data By Major.
|Walter's 8/23/06 concerning the Learning Internet Libraries for Students and Teachers and the Education Improvement Internet Library|
Standardized tests mean large profits to testing companies and require new
Changing from a two-part Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) to a three-part test has made a lot of money for a lot of people.
On page 14, 2005 of Business Week reports that "Kaplan, a unit of The Washington Post, saw SAT-related sales jump up to 50% in the later half of 2004...."SAT companies got a similar hike in 1994, when tests were last modified."
New curriculums mean large profits for curriculum design companies and textbook companies.
The academics who advise these companies receive substantial consulting fees plus ego enhancements.
Standardized test exists to create a better life for young people but these tests hurt young people economically and emotionally.
are three reasons for the tremendous increase in the number of people
attending junior colleges over the past 20 years.
1) Their vocational orientation is needed by society and are of interest to many potential workers.
2) Students can live at home.
3) A $4,000 plus Pell Grant minus about $1,000 in tuition charges leaves students,
many of whom have little interest in education, with $3,000 spending money.
education has become politically correct.
A parent looking for educational advice from teachers, academics, and the media is
like a teenager seeking used car advice from a used car salesperson.
In both cases the parents and teenager want to buy and contacted sources want to sell.
curriculum pyramid into a curriculum diamond.
Now, everyone begins the educational process at the bottom with a curriculums designed
to give everyone the education necessary to reach a very high point at the top.
Instead, a curriculum should start at a point centered upon an individual's ability and learning style and
educate to some reasonably acceptable middle.
Then the curriculum should lead to a high point based upon an individual's aptitude.
When education is like playing, kids and parents
With time, education becomes more like work because it is beyond some student's academic ability
and does not match their special intelligence,
so children begin to drop out of the process.
Puberty interferes with education for many young people.
an economic standpoint, a college education is for the academically gifted and
There are 8 kinds of intelligence. Some are
good for education as practiced today.
Some are needed for work, and some needed for life.
Academics love the first because they have it and too bad for the rest!
An attempt should be used to improve the speaking ability of
elementary and high school teachers.
During a recent visit of three teachers, I found that two could not express a negative thought with only one negative word.
In addition, one of the negatives was usually isn't like in I isn't got no time.
These same two teachers, one a retired elementary school teacher and the other a high school teacher, could not
distinguish between the proper use of the words good and well. They were always doing good.
For some reason, the cheeseburger was never described as well!
Presidents and Academic Deans control quality and raise
Academic Deans say Department Chairs control quality and act like the mayor in a city run by a city manager.
Department Chairs say Professors control academic quality and take the job for a year or two.
Professors have Academic Freedom and do exactly what they want.
"The quality of education depends on socioeconomic,
structural, and policy variables, such as expenditure per student, the
teacher-pupil ratio, and families’ background.
When these covariates are excluded, the relation between the strength of constitutional educational rights and the quality of education is negative and statistically significant."
My guess is that the degree to which an educational system is a meritocracy and test scones is high and negative as is constitutional rights and being a meritocracy.
Better Education Won't Help Many
Global competition will
continue to cause
German wages have been stagnant for years
For the entire Business Week
Preparing people of average intelligence for a college education and training
My Number One Educational Movie
Until recently, Stand and
Deliver, Educating Rita, and To Sir
were tied for first as my favorite educational movie.
Then I read where Stand and Deliver was about a school system and not a school, and that a feeder program was developed
to educate students from a number of middle schools for the advanced program.
That and because calculus is not overly useful in this age of finite mathematics caused me to dropped it from first place.
It will always be great though because they went after "the man".
Then I decided to drop Educating Rita because her interests were too academic
for a world in which career related education is so important.
It will always be a great movie because it accurately portrayed the work expended by the
bottom third of our college professors.
It's difficult to drop
To Sir With Love because it makes me cry every few years.
But it has to go because this is a list of top educational movies and "Sir" was about creating proper social attitudes.
It will always be a great movie because it shows you can't educate those who are not civilized.
Watching School of Rock ended my search for the
top educational movie.
Unlike Stand and Deliver, relevancy is proven by it correctly depicting that people learn by practicing what they do well.
In addition, it doesn't have to go after "the man" because "the man" is "the teacher".
Unlike Educating Rita, School of Rock is more practical than academic and treats all types of intelligence equally.
In addition, it demonstrates that a bottom third person can turn into a top third person given an appropriate career match.
Unlike To Sir With Love, School of Rock is an Educational Movie because it demonstrates the proper direction for our educational system.
Education centered upon real life problems solved by interested students based upon their particular kind and level of intelligence.
In addition, this environment creates civilized students who receive credit for important experiences
such as student government, community service, sports, and other life related organized activity.
Brady reported on page A19 of the May 22, 2004, Orlando Sentinel
how a Chicago 5th grade class in a poor Chicago neighborhood
used education to attack their real life problems.
For more information visit www.projectcitizen405.com
more information on Marion Brady's thoughts concerning a real life centered
Marion Brady's Homepage
Watching Erin Brockovich I wondered how any
business could be so callus and pollute knowing they were killing people.
Then I thought about all the college presidents and admission people who know the economic return
from a college education for average academic students is minimal,
and yet their marketing literature implies otherwise.
I wrote the following in response to a conservative ranking of some recent presidents
I think Dr. Li mixes up totalitarianism with communism.
The first is a political system, the second an economic system.
Oligarchy is government by the wealthy. The U.S. started as an Oligarchy, as only male landowners could vote, now we have a representative
democracy and may be moving toward direct democracy (i-phone required, no swing states allowed).
Remember, a high IQ does not correlate with high understanding.
Major decisions determine the value of a leader, a great president.
Greenspan thought government regulation was not needed because
banker's self-interest would result in self-regulation and good decision making. Right!
He didn't understand that one Greed in the hand is the most valuable greed.
Obama decided to go ahead with Obama Care, in spite of the Great Recession, which means taxpayers have more contingent liability added to those of SS and Medicare.
For small business it means more cost and less full-tine employees. Question, will this make Obama the next Hoover?
Bush II also added to health, but with no increase taxes; two wars he refused to pay for, and he created a the contingent liability for an extremely underfunded VA benefits.
Clinton was lucky to have no major decisions and will be treated OK by history unless sociology decides that he and Monica did extreme harm to the morals of our country.
Ford just visited.
Nixon opened China and history will the determine the political significance of Watergate.
LBJ, a conservative, started moving the U.S. in a liberal direction.
JFK could have acquiesced to conservatives, his generals, and LBJ by bombing Cuban missiles. He decided to blockade Cuba. History indicates K planned a nuclear retaliation. One for one?
Ike warned against the military industrial complex, built the interstate highway system, and didn't use the bomb.
Truman dropped the bomb on a Japan, MacArthur, and McCarthy and recognized Israel. Four for four?
We have the Tea Party to slow down socialism and Democrats to slow down oligarchs.
A dictator like Singapore maximizes the maximum except when it maximizes the maximum regret. See Germany.
Advise to the Obama's
Mrs. Obama should
1) Get the major super market chains to stop giving away sugar cookies.
2) Get Coca Cola to partner with a yogurt company to
include Fat Free Yogurt in their sales coolers which often are located a the check out corner.
3) Help people cut calories by
instituting a product of the month in which she would
explore substitutes for major sources of excess calories-soda, ice cream ...
Push for a sugar and refined-processed flower tax.
Calculator to help cut calories. Online Calories Counter Nutrition Data's Nutrition Facts Counter The Fast Food Nutrition Fact Explorer Product Substitution Calorie Counter
President Obama should
1) Delay the repeal to the Bush cash cut until unemployment goes below 8% for the rich and 7% for the middle class.
2) Delay additional Obama Care coverage improvements until unemployment goes below 8%.
3) Give small business a tax credit equal to their portion of payroll taxes minus business losses.
Pat Buchanan was
just let go by liberal MSNBC for what some think are overly conservative views
detailed in his new book
Death of the West: How Dying Populations and Immigrant Invasions Imperil Our Country and Civilization
Extreme conservatives the world over tend to tolerate only one controller of acceptable beliefs and for them, it is their church.
try to maximize the minimum rather than maximizing the maximum
and not run the risk of maximizing the maximum regret.
Mrs. Obama could have encouraged schools to eliminate all drinks with al lot of sugar (natural or otherwise) and
fatty foods like potato chips and pastry to be replaced with fruit like bananas and apples, and peaches, and deserts like fat free yogurt.
Instead she spends a lot of money trying to completely change student diets and fall right on her mashed potatoes.
Reagan and FDR were the greatest Presidents of the 20th
FDR because he convinced America that hungry people deserved government's help.
RR because he realized that it takes more than government to stop everyone from being hungry.
The more I observe politicians, the more I realize they are just like the "guy" at work or living next door and that scares me.
You would think that as the significance of a decision
the human characteristics of the person making the decision would get better, they don't.
Am I the only one
who hopes President Obama's decision to leave prosecuting high Bush
officials up to the Justice Department is a ploy to provide bargaining chips to get Republican support for health care and a drastic cut in military spending?
Richard Nixon approved the Watergate break-in and other college type election pranks while George I used his influence to delay the release of the hostages, which could of got them killed to insure Ronald Reagan was elected president and he the Vice-President.
Most companies make it easy to pay bill by credit card.
It saves them paper work and lowers bad debts.
Not public utilities. Because they control the electric switch, they can really push you around.
In Florida, Progress Energy, charges $5.95 per month.
It would be easy to fix, but there are too many crooks in Washington to fix it.
Keeping an eye on George II
|First he cut the inheritance tax to save the wealthy
billions. Then, as this article points out, he decided to cut those
auditing estate tax returns to make sure cheaters are not caught.
In the process, cost us collections from the cheats.
Note that the author does not specifically state the $2,200/hours savings is was made after the tax cut?
These last 3 paragraphs were paragraphs 3, 4, and 5 in the article, I moved them because they were boring.
|Solving this problem is not on
George the seconds list because CEO's need the money to donate to the
Worker vs. CEO Pay: Room To Run
Just turned into Larry King who
was talking to former president Bush and his wife.
President Bush answered a question concerning whether Ronald Reagan was religious by quoting his I have Alzheimer's speech.
In doing so he left the impression that Ronald Reagan believed in God.
am not an historian, but I do know that that Ronald Reagan never went to church and
when he gave that speech,
the disease was advanced and the speech was probably written by someone else.
Even in death, politics prevails.
How can Conservatives listen to Rush Limbaugh an hour or two a day
and still have time to learn the facts about what is going on in our world necessary to have an educated opinion.
|FREEDOM OF DOING
The conservative William F. Buckley recently died and some articles about him point to how we are so eloquently deceived in this world. Mr. Buckley was a great and conceptually intelligent spokesperson for the conservative right. As the various articles explained, he moved the discussion from the traditional conservatives position of anti- just about everything, to one of making a point for individual freedom. He was quite well spoken in this debate against the over bearing con
ol of government. And the liberals ranted against him in their claim that without government control the evil in men’s hearts would drive society into oblivion. The conceptual world war of words. How they both miss the point.
Mr. Buckley, and his liberal counter pointers, all spoke of the freedom of doing. Can we do this or that without outside control. Should we be free to choose for our self what is right or wrong? Does some external authority know best what is right or wrong for us to do? But no where in this, does either side ask the question, where does the source of our acting come from? They both assume that our acting comes from the conditions of our upbringing, and with that granted, then the only issue to point out the fallacy of the various types of upbringing. It is an arguing over the conditions now lodged in our brain. And if there are conditions in your brain that say that the conservative view is right, then there is not much that can change that.
| If your conditioning is from
the liberal side, nothing much can change that conditioning. You see, the brain
is created in such a way that currently existing conditioning is well defended
by lots of rational that is consistent with the conditions already present. New
input will be dismissed very easily, either by distorted logic or a rationale
that is based on different assumptions than that presented by the opposing view.
Do you see this? It is why arguments seldom work.
In my view, there is only the freedom of being. Doing is never free if is comes out of a conditioned state. In other words, if you are conditioned to believe that people of color are a certain way, then there is no other way you can act toward them. You are like a programmed computer that has very few options. And of course, you sincerely believe that your actions are taken out of free will. There is no way a conditioned person has the awareness of their own conditioning. It is only when you can separate you awareness from your thoughts that you can see that you are conditioned. Then you see that you have no freedom to do at all. You just play out the conditioning of your past, all the time thinking you are working from some sort of freedom. Once you have freedom in your being, you see the illusion of freedom of doing. To have freedom of being, is to go to the quiet place of “no thought” and just see how you work. You will see everything I have just described. It is not my opinion. But you have to see that for yourself to understand it. Tom Lane 3/4/08 from wake up is a blog about existence
Concerning Supply Side Economics
Show me a young person who works less because of high taxes and I'll show you someone who will not make much money.
When it comes to war, conservatives tend to act even when
there is not a clear need for action and
liberals tend not to act even when there is a clear need for action.
They must be wearing different glasses.
How big is the U.S. Defense Budget?
Joe Moneybags , thinking of diversifying into the travel and entertainment businesses, has collected the following 2002 sales revenue data.
in Billions of Dollars
|Transit and ground passenger transportation||19,000,000,000|
|Motion picture and sound recording industries||77,000,000,000|
|Broadcasting (except Internet)||73,000,000,000|
|Amusement, gambling, and recreation industries||66,000,000,000|
|Performing arts, spectator sports, and related industries||55,000,000,000|
|Museums, historical sites, and similar institutions||9,000,000,000|
|2002 Military Budget||348 billion|
|Sources: Table 1: Summary Statistics for the US: 2002 of US Census Bureau and Center for Defense Information|
low and middle class Americans vote Republican because voting for Democrats
would be admitting they are low or middle class Americans.
Who will control the 21st Century
Some people say China as the controlling natural resource
will brain power and she has the most people.
Some say India because she may have more people and is more advanced in technology.
For it to be China, she must give up Communism because captive people won't compete.
India, she must give up her cast system because as we have seen in the Middle East, religious intolerance hinders progress.
If either of these events happen, freedom will limit political differences between countries.
The United States? If we make it through the coming oil dependency crisis, we will lead the next great advancement of "world" civilization.
Political activity of liberals centers on being
allowed to do what they want to do, gays want to marry and women want abortions
Political activities of conservatives center on making gay marriage and abortions illegal.
Liberals don’t think much about whether religious doctrine is
mainly from a lack of interest,
although deciding which religion to analyze makes the task unmanageable.
Conservatives, consciously or not, think a lot about whether liberals are right because if gays getting married
and allowing abortions does not send people to hell, then believing in religion does not send people to heaven.
Me? If there is an afterlife, we all go. If not, too bad, so sad. Of course, if life ends we won’t know because we won’t exist.
Evidence on the subject does not exist so I’m going out for pizza.
Many states income tax laws exempt state and local retirement
The federal government felt this was very unfair to others and passed a law requiring all such states also exempt the retirement income of federal employees.
So much for us commoners.
Many people don't won't government interfering in their lives.
Separation of Church and State is important, especially when it comes to taxes.
Imagine a world with out
tolls. Getting to work more quickly. A more pleasant Sunday afternoon drive.
Quicker travel in unfamiliar places.
Tolls are state users taxes. The idea is to charge those who use the roads and bridges.
Being local in nature make them political easy to institute.
The problem is they are economically inefficient. Think of the economic savings involved if they were eliminated with a one cent increase in federal gasoline.
The cost of collection them is government bureaucracy its best and there lies the problem as tolls means jobs for party members and their friends.
Jobs to build collection booths, job to collect tools, jobs to maintain property, and jobs to administer programs.
Of course these people could be producing something of value other than workers for the next campaign.
The Protestant Ethic developed because some felt a need to demonstrate God had predestined their going to heaven.
Add this to 1. Rome's decision that success led to
pride which meant a loss of humility, the worst of all sins and
2. payment of interest was not allowed and you end up with a bunch of poor Roman Catholic.
Greed is an uncontrollable need that has a
substantial negative affects a person's surroundings.
Is something that does not meet this criteria a bad thing. Think reading, praising the Lord, eating, drinking?
It is also why you end up with a bunch of non Christians.
My 85 year-old dad asked an interesting
question shortly before passing.
If someone who had more than one spouse dies, who is their eternity partner?
Mark Twain had this interesting comment
while reporting from Hawaii.
"Think of the multitudes who have gone to their graves on this beautiful island never knowing there was a hell."
Some are religious so they don't have to think about death,
just believe and
they will live forever, no discussion. Nice if you can do it!
Conservative religion is very male oriented.
Think Roman Catholics-male priests, Mormons-lack of women rights, Muslim men in family hierarchy vs. women.
One thousand years from now at the beginning of the 4th
which religion will be described as having been the cruelest during the first two plus millennium?
Here's hoping dark energy and matter which represents about 73% of the
known universe is where our consciousness,
our soul, resides and that all religions concepts of life after physical death are correct!
Religious Christian conservatives confuse me?
On the one hand they are against violence, but they really like a big, aggressive military.
On the other hand they want to help the poor, but refuse to pay for social programs!
Why religious people are anti-government
Protestants want one authority-The Bible and don't want it challenged in any way.
Roman Catholics don't want their theology to face competition from other ideologies.
When it come to sin, Protestants get a Get Out of Jail Free card
by accepting Jesus as one's personal savior.
Roman Catholics not only get no such card with purgatory and
it provides for many those doomed to death by Protestants,
even those who died
before Jesus was born.
Should a Christian conservative push button A or B.
A conservative Christian was told that by pushing button A their belief that
only those who accept Jesus Christ as their personal savior would have life eternal
This statement would not be true if button B were selected.
A was chosen.
Turns out had B been chosen everyone who ever existed would have had life eternal.
The conservative Christian had ended life
billions of people in eternity, billions alive today, and for many billions to be born.
Our Christian conservative said ...
There is good news and good news concerning death.
"Only" those who accept Jesus Christ go heaven is a
using fear to make Christianity a specialty product exclusive for select users.
Judaism does the same thing by making Jews "God's chosen people"
wake up is a blog about existence
A golfing friend, son a
medical doctor possessed the enterprise to open his own CPA practice with his son who
also was a CPA.
It seems to have been successful as he had the good fortune to later have built a new home.
I see good genes, at least an average nurturing environment, and ambition.
What average federal income tax should he pay?
Oops to Global Warming and Global Power
Since 1991, the average temperature at the Swiss Camp in
Greenland is up 10 degrees. Oops, green house gasses are
Cores of Greenland ice 110,000 years old show at least 20 sudden changes in temperature by as much as 15 degrees.
Oops, no green house affect.
A Capital Reader Political Book Summary of American
The Perils and Politics of Radical Religion, Oil, and Borrowed Money in the 21st century by Kevin Phillips points out the
"...Dutch hegemony during the 17th and 18th centuries was built on its unmatched ability to harness wind and water power."
Coal came along. Oops, global power gone.
"Similarly, Britain's rise during the 18th and 19th centuries
was fueled by its preeminent coal-base industry."
Oil came along. Oops, global power gone.
Now, "..the United States' emergence as a global empire..." during the 20th and 21st centuries "...has been predicated on an oil-based industrial complex..." fueled by cheap oil.
An alternative power source for oil will be found. Oops, global power gone.
Question! What do we really lose by accelerating the natural change from oil to alternative fuels?
Answer: Nothing of consequence! The inconvenience of increasing taxes on oil over 20 years
would be minimal if we lowered other taxes an equal amount.
Different rich people and companies would donates money to our Washington leaders.
There replacements would be of similar ethics and character.
If shale oil and natural gas prove viable you can say Oops to this analysis.
Would the world be a better place if there was more opposition to the political correct ideas of the day?
Is dangerous is always bad.
Why shouldn't some people
take human growth hormones?
People ski, play golf within 20 miles of a thunder storm, drive fast, eat too much and live with a Type A personality.
The ending of the teaching of Religion in public schools in 1948 is one thing, removing under God from the pledge of allegiance is another.
How can one set of political correct rules apply to human characteristics which follow a Normal Distribution?
As someone who enjoys history, I am amazed how little I know about the history of Atlantic slave trade 7/15/09
A two-year required national service program would do a lot to improve the educations, military, and health need of our youth.
Allowed activities would include
1) armed service
3) international peace corps
4) national piece corps
5) undergraduate bachelors degree in science, mathematics, and engineering
6) graduate degree in science, mathematics, and engineering
1. Defeating socialism in any form was and is part of the Cold War.
|The CIA supported dictatorship in the Middle East, Latin America, and South America because socialism is a kind of Communism while Socialism was acceptable in western Europe, it had to be stopped in other parts of the world. Hundreds of thousands were killed and millions injured physically, mentally, and economically.||We were really trying to stop totalitarianism not Communism. Mass communication eventually destroyed Russia as her young people saw what life was like in the West and insisted on change. Socialism continues to have its ups and downs and the cost of the CIA anti-socialist activities were and are wasteful.|
|2. Continuing to believe in The Domino Theory concerning the spread of communism?||We stopped communist expansion Korea and once the Iron Curtin went up, Communist expansion stopped in Europe.||We were very insecure about the ability of Capitalism to out produce Communism. What I don't understand is why the CIA didn't communicate how backward they were in all areas except the military. Or did they and was it the influence of the military industrial complex that kept us in the dark?|
America didn't enslave many black people,
they or their ancestors were enslave by other black people
as a result of conflicts and then sold, first to Egyptians, then Europeans, and finally Americans.
Our crime is that it took us so long to unslave them. While
slow progress has been made, it has been hampered by an educational system
that tries to maximize the maximum by preparing everyone for academic colleges rather than technical and vocational colleges. In the process,
whites, blacks, and in-betweens who don't want to ware a dress shirt find the going difficult receive much less education.
Because we are less prejudice about our enslaving process doesn't stop t from being slavery.
Actress Diane Keaton had this to say in the
6/13/26 issue of The Week.
"I can imagine having a companion, someone who says 'Good to see you, what's going on?'
But then if it's a man, are you supposed to have a relationship? Share a bed? She shakes her head. "That's not happening."
Editor's Questions: How much of our desire for physical relations has to do with the Pavlov's dog affect society has on out feelings?
Every time I see a women with large breast I feel I should bark! I wonder if Diane like me wishes she had developed this attitude much earlier, maybe in her twenties!
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