Americans absolutely love bad news, but here's my
take away on this article: Assuming zero additional
manufacturing ramp-up, just holding at current
levels, Pfizer will have 70m and Moderna 85m doses
in circulation by April 1.
There are three types of vaccines: sterilizing
immunity, infection prevention, and symptom reducing. We know
the new Covid vaccines reduce symptoms for certain, but if they
can prevent infection that would be brilliant.
520,0 00 Israelis have gotten both
0.1% subsequently caught coronavirus. approx 520
15 people were hospitalized. 4 severely illnesses. None died.
2. Hospitalized Death
27% in March, August 3% in August
Recent patients averaging age 47 vs. 63
1. Patients in in better shape, with
More Knowledgeable Care:
resting patients on their stomachs and avoiding ventilators
More Pharmaceutical Treatments
Less Crowded Hospitals
10-15% Serious 5% Critical
3. Lessons from 2,500 hours COVID19 research:
a) Ignore cases, use number of
Beware of reported death: many ‘with’ not ‘due to’ COVID19.
All-cause deaths bias-free but ambiguous & badly delayed.
MSM is rarely right. WHO often right but timing off.@MLevitt_NP2013
e) Death Will Catch Up after Slow
Dr. Jenna Patterson
@jenna_patt Director of Health
Vaccine Epidemiologist | MPH & PhD, Infectious
@UCTIDM Cape Town, South Africa
1/7: Trump’s fight with China continues to haunt us as the administration refuses to join the Covid-19 Vaccines Global Access Facility
Trump said he did not want to be constrained by “corrupt World Health
Organization and China”. Yet China may be the best bet...
China has a more balanced portfolio of potential COVID-19 vaccines as well as an actual track
record for vaccine development. By ignoring global collaboration, we are quite literally
PUTTING ALL OF OUR EGGS IN ONE BASKET
China or any other country should beat America to the finish line in
vaccine development, membership in WHO would likely put us on the fast-track
to sharing in those benefits.
And now ender's President
Trump’s withdraw from the WHO.
Editor: US has all the money so we may be able to pay
our way into getting the vaccine in a reasonable time.
4/7: An American ‘WHO EXIT’ will have major implications for healthcare and public
health efforts globally and domestically. Top WHO priorities such as polio
eradication and Universal Health Coverage will suffer globally at the loss of
5/7: Even if you aren’t worried about global health... “WHOEXIT”
will further reduce America’s power in the global community.
It will fracture mutually beneficial relationships with numerous countries
across the globe, influencing economic and global security.
6/7: Whether or not President Trump is elected for a second term, the
administration has sent a strong signal to the global health community that
America’s official position, for now, is non-cooperation.
7/7: WHO is the only body capable of leading and coordinating the global
response to COVID-19. As infection rates and mortality continue to rise in the
US and many other countries have flattened the curve, this is the worst possible
time for the US to shun its global allies
Notes from recent @gummibear737
rant At first nobody was against a virus shutdown.
Scared people had little information.
As information emerged, certain things seemed
Yet, they got everything wrong and those who
the narrative were mocked and ridiculed.
CNN, Hardball and other mass media outlets
thought and meaningful dialogue among opposing scientists.
Politicians and media profits determine acceptable science.
I have had three EUREKA
moments during the pandemic:
I calculated age-based Infection Fatality Rate and
realized all would not die and those < 60 could work.
I believed that Dr. Levitt's burnout theory was
correct and moving forward did not require
I accepted that the "Asian/Oceana Immunity" correct models" centered on Pre-Existing T-Cell "effective
immunity" were best.
1. Burnout = Herd Immunity
2. Pandemic is over.
3. Paradoxically, lockdowns are killing more people.
4. Schools should be opened.
5. Continued lockdowns makes a second wave is
more likely so we should reopen everything.
Cases Down, Hospitalizations Down, Deaths Will
Hotspot States, Even With Increased New
Still Have Fewer Deaths
Michael Levitt @MLevitt_NP2013
US COVID19 will be
in 4 weeks
with a total reported death
below 170,000. How will we know it is
Like for Europe, when all cause
excess deaths are at normal levels for
week is a basic prediction.
Reported COVID19 deaths may
continue after 25 Aug. and
will, but it will be over.
Editor 9/25/20: Recent Increases Has
proved this very optimistic prediction wrong.
Now he is
predicting about 700 per million or
231 million in US. Cause of the
Variability between West and SE Asia is important.
Roundtable with Leading Public Health Experts
anyone one says follow the science they mean
follow "our" science.
US Doing Better Than Some
CV-19 Cases are a Undefined and Miss Counted
Hospitalization and Deaths Count
5 Qs to ask when deciding whether to send your
child back to school:
1) Level of
2) Child's & family risk?
protocols in place?
4) Is there virtual option?
Specific needs for family?
What doctors have learned
about fighting COVID-19: Reuters
are at increased risk of blood clots, and
blood thinning agents can help.
- putting patients on their stomachs to
relieve pressure on the lungs - can stave
off the need for mechanical ventilation.
the respiratory system and lungs, the
coronavirus can attack many other organs,
including the heart, liver, kidneys, and
promising treatments so far seem to be the
anti-viral remdesivir; dexamethasone, a
steroid to treat the body's inflammatory
response to COVID-19; and plasma donated by
patients who have antibodies to the disease.
widespread testing and quicker results helps
relieve pressure on hospitals.
Information-sharing among health
professionals worldwide is crucial.
Prevention is critical. Doctors are relying
on the public to do their part with good
hygiene, masks and social distancing.
Some of the
which treatments will work for which
quickly some treatments will gain widespread
distribution, especially remdesivir.
it will take for COVID-19 patients to
long-term effects of the infection.
Coronavirus News You May Have
Trump illogical rants need to be discussed.
Trump: Testing just indicates more cases.
Media Interpretation" Testing causes sickness.
Reality: Sickness is what it is. Testing is of some interest
but number one interest is rates of change for hospitalizations,
ventilation patents and fatilities.
New confirmed\cases really can not be compared. US vs. Europe