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Quick Notes by
Walter
Antoniotti Return to Political Economy Book Summaries 12/14/19 Please share! |
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Prelude The Why Low Unemployment became "the" Public Policy Goal to counter Europe's post depression/recession,and Russia's latest 5 year plan. Post WW2 Pent-up Demand increased AD, increasing both US wages and Profits. But the resulting High Inflation pushed interest rates up. T he FED broke the inflation spiral and lowered interest rates.This helped maintain profit margins as Western business refinanced with continuously falling interest rates. Leveraged was also increased to maintain high profit. 2. The Change
Western Business Adjusted
to a mounting profit squeeze
caused by increased flat world's AS.
But wealthy European and Asia
countries ran trade surpluses 3. The Prediction Resulting Political Turmoil
Fiscal Policy AD Increases
with of infrastructure spending
Government Debt
Guarantees
Can Democracy Survive Global Capitalism? 100 min video Political Economy Summary |
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Cold War to 1980 A Full Employment Goal Created Inflation— a Debtors Paradise |
2. The Bad A Neo Liberal
Reset 1980-2008
Business Responded to Inflation by going global,
lowered wage growth and in the US, |
3. The Ugly Reactions to Neoliberalism 2008- Sustained Deflation
had Winners-Losers |
Structural Causes
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Structural Causes
2008- Lack of Bank Regulation High Leverage Short-Term Commercial Bank Reserves Were in Euros When Dollar Reserves Were Required. Neoliberal Economist Under Estimated Economic Effects of Financial Market on Economic Activity. Government t Helped the Top and the Bottom Creating Middle Income Envy. |
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| Economic Effects | |
| Winners | Losers |
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Populist Nationalist Parties attracted voters with renationalization and anti-austerity policies. |
Center Left Parties
lost control as lower wages and fighting more over less, and cartel politics blamed capitalism and globalism. Center right parties in control blamed immigrants and globalism. |
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Debtors Can't or Won't
Pay Deflation Kills Wage Growth Real Debt Value Increases |
Creditors lost as Real Value of Debt Up But Some Don't Pay |
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World's Very Poor and Very, Very Rich Won Middle Earners of Rich Western Nations income Stagnated. |
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Bottom Line A Return on Capital Growth R > Growth rate of the Economy G.
90% of Income Gains
Went to Top 1% and since 2012,
Continued Expansion
of Credit aided by low interest rates, Trump
Could the
The_4G's of Politics, not economic inequality, |
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A Worldwide Threat Assessment From GZERO media
As we noted in the Wednesday edition, the US intelligence community
has released its latest Worldwide Threat Assessment.
Much of the media focus this week has fallen on
President Trump’s criticism of the US intel chiefs,
but let’s begin with the report itself. Here are its key findings:
The Trump administration’s trade policies have damaged US interests
by pushing allies to build new relationships with other governments.
“At present, China and Russia pose the greatest espionage and cyber attack threats.”
ISIS isn’t finished.
Climate hazards
threatening infrastructure, health, and water and food security.”
North Korea
“is unlikely to completely give up its nuclear weapons and production capability.”
North Korea has continued nuclear development in some areas
and taken actions that are reversible in others.
Iran continues to support terrorist groups in the Middle East and Europe,
but it’s still complying with the terms of the nuclear
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See
Mark Blyth explains
Crashed Video and
book-review of Crashed:
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