On Grand Strategy
Reporting on the world from the US,
Berlin had learned
3. The Need for Truth 19:11
Russians had suffered during the czars but
Stalin's suffering was
different. It was
Marxist and Fascists followed the true correct
theory, judgment was not needed.
Being correct provided the confidence needed to not fear the future.4. The Importance of Scale15:00
felt FDR was also extremely sure of
himself, self confidence. He could
Because of the BEAR was needed to stop
5. Grand strategy requires the directional
compass of intellect and
Carl von Clausewitz on Grand Strategy
Complexity requires intellect to determine
which requires adjustment
Napoleon the conqueror couldn't balancing aspiration with capability
and lost an empire.
Tetlock suggested we survived as a
species by combing habits of
Good judgment assumes Moral equivalents across opinions
liberty: individuals yield freedom of choice to some higher
Negative Liberty: individuals
7. Accepting Past and Present incompatibles 3:46
In 1962 RFK was responded to a student Mexican War question. RFK said taking Mexico by force was probably incorrect. It cause Deep Do Do.
Should we give Texas back. Most would say no. The resulting justice would cause chaos and too much injustice would result. Contractions exist. Learning to live with history means living with incompatibles. Grand strategies helps because all fair deals are based on proportions, the item received must be in balance, be in proportion to that paid. Grand strategy aligns desires with ability. Fairness is helped by bending toward freedom or negative liberty.
To Carl von Clausewitz it meant subordinating war to policy for what freedom comes from violence.
The contradiction of life and death is the greatest we will behold, almost all participants deserve respect.