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# 3 Inflation's Back, Is There Going to Be Trouble?

Fed Warns About Coming Spike in PCE Inflation

Snapshot from the FED has much data


Interest Rates Usually Follow Inflation

Junk Bond Market Still in Total Denial, Fighting the Fed 4/18/18

See Why Interest Rates Are Rising


Federal Borrowing Will Be More Expensive Up

Trade Wars

Trade wars usually are inflationary,
and could cause an increase in the inflation-risk premium on debt.
 The effect could be distorted by a flight to safe and
 liquid assets thanks to deep do do between economic powers, the U.S. and China.
Trade concerns increased in June but
inflation compensation moved slightly lower.

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