2024 Economy  11/26/24

Analysis  Post Election     Pre Election

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Post Election Analysis

Did Interest Payments Crash the 2024 Harris Party?

Did Interest Payments Crash Budgets

Credit card rate up 7+ %pts
as FED increased interest rates to to slow inflation

Prices Went Up and Stayed Up,
Even though the Increase slowed Dramatically

Inflation Ticked Up Before Election1

 

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index |
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

To be continued into 2025

 

2024 Economy Pre-election analysis updates ended 10/5/24

Covid Lockdown Handled Well by Washington

Trump-Biden Risked Inflation to Lower Unemployment
Short Recession

Inflation Getting Back To Normal

Presidents and Federal Reserve Responded Well

US Growth Led the Industrialized World

Small Business is Booming

Latest Data and Discussion Topics

See 2024 Election         please share     Walter
 

2020 Short Recession

 

 

 

A Two-Quarter Recession

 

 

Inflation was Transitional

 

San Francisco Fed estimated
supply chain shocks
caused 60% of the U.S. inflation
 mid 6/21-mid 6/23

Federal Government Responded Well to Covid

Unemployment Inflation Effect
Trump failed to stop Democrats and Media from forcing economic shutdown.    
CARES Act (Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act) 3/27/20, $2.2 trillion spent 14.8% Very Little
COVID-19 Relief Package (Consolidated Appropriations 12/27,20, $900 billion spent 6.7 Some
2021 Biden adds to the spending
American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA)
- Enact 3/11, 2021, $1.9 spent
6.1 Moderate +
Fed predicts inflation transitional, but it stayed high longer because    
   Supply Chain bottlenecks as Covid slows globalization   Moderate
   Feb4-20 22 Russia invades Ukraine   Moderate

 Post WW 2  Cycle Analysis
       1. Competitive Adjustments

            2. Good Jobs Gone

            3. Severe Recessions

            4. Great Recession

            5. Great Recession

            6. Market Bubbles

            7. Big Cycles Over Last 100 Years
' quotes. What could replace the dollar "when Europe's a museum, Japan's a nursing home, China's a jail, and Bit coin's an experiment"?

 

 

 

 

US Growth Leads the Industrialized World

 

1950-1980 Liberals Dominate with Roe Wade, Race Integration, Social Programs

1981-2016 Conservatives Dominate with Globalization, Tax Cuts-especially for business and rich

1988-2020 FED Easy money lead to High Business Income lead to massive Stock Market Gains.

1950 to 2020 Globalization leads to income inequality as the top 10 % do very well and
the lower 50% receive a small income increase and a large wellbeing boost from
Medicare and Medicaid, SS, Tax Credits and SNAP type assistance.

2020-2030 will be a time of insecurity leading to anxiety.

2024 Election Information    

 

Small Business is Booming

PCE Items Priced

 

Discussion Topics

 

18-charts Explain US Economy/

Myths About Inflation video

Higher education bubble in the United States

Bloomberg.world economic indicators

 

Great Depression Myths

Myths About the Great Depression

Special Topics in Microeconomics