U.S. Has a Strong Geopolitical Position
Power and Global Disorder 22 min video 11/8/18
1. Largest strip of high-quality
arable land in the world
2. Most Navigable Waterways
in the world
3. Control best parts of a
continent with moats on either side
4. If US trading system breaks
down, US suffers the least!
5. Trade subsidizes the Global
system so NAFTA must work.
6. US is delusional when
thinking China is the next super power.
She has only managed to hold together for 300 years.
Water, Energy, Soil and Food--and a Shared National
Requirements for Success
U.S very good
Geography that is
productive and well protected.
Demography for high growth with
younger members spending and mature members earning and investing.
US doing well as baby boomers had the Millennials.
Financial burden of the US is relatively small as baby boomer demographic
will end while
China, Japan, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, and Spain now
have the highest tax paying work force.
Only Spain and GB are not past the point of Demographic
French and New Zeeland may have a favorable demographic.
The others are "terminal countries."
because Obama did less than expected.
He acted as if he did not want to have conversations with
Near the end he new how important factors were
How well is China's economy working.
Why Russia interfered with the election system.
Solar energy needs a backup.
What a good tax policy would look like.
But Obama did not care enough to have related policies.
He had understanding but no policy.
With Trump, no understanding but a commitment to some
Which is worse? Actually, he is
following a neoconservative policy.
US has forced an
acceleration of world player adjustments.
Brexit as the European Union disintegration accelerates.
China's needs US managing World security to maintain
Xi tries to cooperate as without free trade, China will fall
Withdrawing as world's protector means
Containing China is Japans concern.
Containing Iran a is concern for Turkey/Saudis.
Nukes could be used, but not against the U.S. as no, one except Russia, is a
Korean delivery of nukes is a South Korean/Japanese worry.
Question: Is US as
protector a requirement for US business and finance to control the
Factors Indicating a New International Order
Peter Zeihan on Power and Global Disorder in 2018
The Accidental Superpower and
The Absent Superpower
Responding to China: A
U.S.-China Relations in 2019 video
U.S. Government Not Designed
for Governmental Grand
a. Separation of powers
b. Many want limited
c. Private Sector Renewals
Recent Exception After WW
c. It worked-The Cold War
a. The 1946
described a very aggressive
b. A 40-year
a. Fragility of Soviet
economy and society caused
implosion from within.
b. China is very different.
Would Say We Have a
1. National Security
Strategy issued in 12/17
2. National Defense Strategy
issued in 1/18
3. Future of US Defense
issued mid 2018
Era of Strategic Engagement
Replaced by Strategic
a. Engagement-you engage and
one side backs down.
b. Competition is more
adversarial but no US
c. Rules to be determined
Latest Attitude Toward China
a. It makes any kind of
convergence of societies
in U.S. and Australia is not
good Foreign Policy.
Geopolitical Factors for
Next Four Years
a. China under Xi Jinping
will resist any forces:
economic, social, political,
challenges to the long-term
survival of the Communist
Assistant Vice Premier
a strong-man and long-time
party member, move toward markets
rankling some politburo bureau members.
Well Conceived Grand Strategy
a) Based on a clearly defined policy purposes
b) Situations are through, observe in detail in relation to
c) Set a new direction
Communist Party and Ideology
to counter China's lethargic corrupt state
Confidence has increased.
Sharply Focused Chinese Diplomacy
to Lead/Improve Global Government