Republican Party Nixon's, Today, After Trump
Democratic Party The Bad, A Renaissance, After Trump
Walter Antoniotti 6/21/2
Republic is a free, equal, self-ruling
Possible limits on democracy or majority rule
1. Majority may elect representatives to pass laws.
2. Guarantees of individual rights for all, including minorities
3. A constitution that limits what governments can do to mi
"We hold these truths to be self-evident,
People of the United States,
|Editor's Note: George basis his argument on the Declaration of Independence which explains what the colonies wanted to protect their "rights" from the king of England. Anything that interferes with these "rights" is not allowed.||Editor's Note: The Constitution of the United States was needed to help the interaction among independent states. Thomas Payne's famous Life, Liberty and Property was changed to Life Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness. How people lived was important to our founders.|
Preserve the Founders Thinking as custodians of the classical liberal tradition.
Rights are natural. They preexist acts of human will and can not be nullified by such acts. Therefore, if rights are natural, so to is government limited and government's main purpose is to "secure these rights."
Human nature is permanent and statesmanship is to develop a political system, that is conducive to and in accord with, the nature of humans.
Classical Liberalism is called Conservatisms in United States.
The creative arena of human affairs is society which is distinct
from government whose proper function is to protect life/liberty
primarily for the individual's private pursuit of happiness.
Modern Conservatism Goals
1. Task is to Warn of what is perishable among the freedoms/liberty granted in the Declaration of Independence and Constitution arising from the political appetite for immediate gratification of unlimited wants of the American People.
2. Core Purpose is to reconnect society with the Principles of the Founding. This was the radical worry and Core Purpose of Abe Lincolns political life.
2. Radical Worry is the causal relationship between post new deal government power/ambitions and the fraying of the culture while progressive worry about economic/material distributive justice.
Source: Conservative Sensibility
See The conservative sensibility video
Dynamics of Economic Appetites
of FDR saw society
changing with the industrial revolution. A Progressive,
he believed in a changing human nature. He expanding
government beyond providing conditions for perusing
happiness to providing economics rights to supplement
of the 1960's believed policy elite managers would direct government
operations from above and end the business cycles.
Progressivism RequiredCapitalist Pay Their Liabilities
of Welfare Capitalism
complex values of equality and liberty
Nixon's Republican Party
Republican Party 1970's position had been pro-choice. RR, GHW Bush and most Republican leaders had felt abortion was not the government's business. It was private business and Feds should not be involved. Then they quickly added Gun Rights. This second cultural issue, after abortions, created their acknowledged voter base. These issues were tolerable to their financial base and help hold their voting base.
Legislation to lower taxes and limiting regulation kept the financial base in line. McConnell and Ryan served the money/power constituency while Trump, worked for the rich and kept voters entertained.
Recent Republicans presidential hopefuls desired by the voting base were not acceptable to the party establishment, the donor base. Year after year the base was crushed. Think M. Beckman, H. Cane, and R. Santorum. But in 2016, the establishment could not crush Trump, the candidate wanted by the "primary" voting base.
Replaced Moderate Republicans.
Republicans Shift Off the Spectrum.
Republican Party Civil War 2008-2016
Trump's Bedrock Beliefs
Globalization is irredeemably injurious to American Society.
Its unrestricted immigration, unlevel trade deals, and unchecked foreign
cheating have undermined American business and workers. The failure of both parties to advance
relevant solutions to check these systemic issues that plagued much of the
was Trump's trump card because During the 21st Century, the
Republican Party morphed from
from Congressman Jeff Flake
20th Century Republican Party
1. Limited Government
21st Century Republican Party
buy the book American Carnage
from Senator Bob Corker
1. "America is a force for Good in the World ..." The post WW2 institutions have been "mostly very beneficial to the US and our citizens." Trump does not believe this.
3. Free Trade has been an outstanding thing for the American people, our country and GDP. "This president is a protectionist."
4. "Fiscal issues matter. He's not even close to being a fiscal conservative."
5. Domestic institutions that are fundamental to our Democracy are important because even though every institution needs oversight and can be improved, they helped make America great . "Not him .."
The End of the Republican Alliance
Life After Trump Part IV:
Let's start with the bad, move on to the
worse, and end with a likely post-Trump path that most
of you are going to absolutely, positively loathe.
The worse: Democrats are losing the numbers game and could soon be kept out of power.
1. Organized labor
for 3 reasons
and no longer offer unquestioned support.
Cultural aspect limited union success to
old-school manufacturing and coal mining. But, they flourished over a half
century ago when most of the people with the "good" jobs were white males who
invariably lost their jobs.
are generally thought by both parties
to be Democrats. Opening America's
southern border to unrestricted in-migration helps Democrats win the numbers
game. Economics is the main concern of left leaning first-generation
Hispanic-Americans and undocumented Hispanics. But those who are
undocumented cannot vote so an open border generates no immediate gains. As the
generations tick by, the underlying social conservatism of many
Hispanics-Americans increases. Regardless of generation, Hispanics are not
nearly as pro-blue as other minorities.
The "Hispanic" voter cohort includes
such as Mexicans, Spaniards, Argentineans, Colombians and Puerto Ricans plus
The "Hispanic" voter cohort includes Spanish speakers such as Mexicans, Spaniards, Argentineans, Colombians and Puerto Ricans pluspeople of Native descent who have never spoken a word of Spanish in their lives. More diversity exists. "Cubans living in New Jersey and Florida are historically, culturally and politically distinct."
Pollsters tell us Hispanics list economics and health care as their primary concerns, but Democrats focus on border issues and immigration. Democrats stressing how Hispanic-Americans "should" care about these issues does not go over well. It seems Multi-generational Hispanic-Americans, especially in Texas and Florida, tend to be most conservative on immigration. Trump messaging to them was different. The day House Democrats voted to impeach Trump, AFL-CIO labor leaders were in the Oval Office glorifying Trump for his inclusion of labor's concerns into the NAFTA2.
Just as with the unions, the Democrats have taken Hispanic-Americans for granted while Team Trump was speaking to the concerns and fears of many Hispanic-Americans. And so Trump captured most counties on the U.S.-Mexico border and increased the Republicans' Hispanic-American vote in Arizona, Texas, Florida, Georgia and Ohio. Democratic demographic self-delusion could soon permanently disable them. The new Republican Party is exclusively social conservative and more cohesive than the old Republican Party which was already more cohesive than the Democrats. m
Joe Biden is not an ideological purist and has
purged the Democratic Party of not just wokeness, but of the
entire leftist wing of the party.
1. Got Barack Obama to denounce wokeness and cancel
Republicans party carnage.
Millions of rightist populist voters came into mainstream not for the Republican Party, but for Trump. To keep them. the Republican Party has been loath for and to expressly condemn and purge Trump. Refusal to dismantle Trump's cult of personality meant the Republican Party was no longer is the party of law & order.
likely post-Trump path
Business community could join the Democratic Party.
The political faction that is most concerned with law & order issues
is the business community…and Team Biden has noticed.
1. Eight years of Obamaesque inaction and four years of Trumpian irregularity has businesses taking a more active role in usually exclusive government functions. As the social chasm between business and the Democrats narrows, boardroom discussions involve environment, immigration, education, income/racial inequality, civic planning...
2. The ideological chasm has similarly narrowed.
One reason why the business community has been solidly Republican is unions and socialists have been solidly Democrat. While business social consciousnesses may be evolving, recent evolutions – unions taking flight for the new Republican coalition and Team Biden's isolation of the socialists – means business could take charge of, among other things, party economic policies.
The end of the cold war, digitalization, and the rise and consternation from Globalization will not allow politics to remain as it was. This political reshuffling is America's seventh and the last occurred in the aftermath of the Great Depression. Before then, business leaders were…Democrats.Many with an entrenched ideology, even with the unions gone and socialists purged, will be reflexively oppose to allying with business. The required intellectual contortions from elderly Democratic leadership will be difficult. But, I think the businesses community joining the Democratic Party faces better than even odds because Biden has no personal ideology. His views are based on whatever political winds have been blowing at the time. That makes him less principled and more pragmatic. Business must participate in a political party and with their being willing to pay their way, they can help ameliorate problems.
I don't know if Biden is what the country needs. He utterly lacks leadership or management experience, so I have even less upon which to base a forecast than I did for Trump four years ago. We'll find out soon enough. But I'm pretty sure that if the Democrats' goal is to actually stay in power, Biden's pragmatism is exactly what his party needs.
What libertarianism has become and will become— State Capacity Libertarianism
Related Tyler Essays
Democrats Help Trump?
Business collusion with Russians is just as dubious, at most, it is minor corruption. Making it a major part of their anti-Trump campaign could be costly to Democrats. But, it allows Democrats to ignore fundamental issues like global warming, the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review, and business/environmental regulation. Source